{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}E:\Jesse's Documents\Defense Pacts\FPA\Johnson Leeds 2010 FPA rep\Johnson Leeds 2010 FPA.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}22 Jul 2010, 17:30:15

{com}. do "E:\Jesse's Documents\Defense Pacts\R&R\Replication File 7-13-10.do"
{txt}
{com}. * Replication File for "Defense Pacts:  A Prescription for Peace?"
. * 07/13/10
. 
. use "E:\Jesse's Documents\Defense Pacts\FPA\Johnson and Leeds 2010 FPA.dta", clear
{txt}
{com}. 
. set more off
{txt}
{com}. 
. ******************************
. *** Descriptive Statistics ***
. ******************************
. 
. tab dispute

      {txt}codes {c |}
whether the {c |}
 challenger {c |}
initiated a {c |}
    dispute {c |}
against the {c |}
  target in {c |}
  the given {c |}      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
          0 {c |}{res}  1,075,638       99.78       99.78
{txt}          1 {c |}{res}      2,354        0.22      100.00
{txt}{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
      Total {c |}{res}  1,077,992      100.00
{txt}
{com}. 
. tab ptargdef

{txt}presence of {c |}
  a defense {c |}
   pact for {c |}
 the target {c |}
 applicable {c |}
to the dyad {c |}      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
          0 {c |}{res}    492,525       45.69       45.69
{txt}          1 {c |}{res}    585,467       54.31      100.00
{txt}{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
      Total {c |}{res}  1,077,992      100.00
{txt}
{com}. tab pchalally

      {txt}codes {c |}
whether the {c |}
 challenger {c |}
    had any {c |}
  defensive {c |}
     allies {c |}      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
          0 {c |}{res}    485,731       45.06       45.06
{txt}          1 {c |}{res}    592,261       54.94      100.00
{txt}{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
      Total {c |}{res}  1,077,992      100.00
{txt}
{com}. tab pchaloff

{txt}presence of {c |}
  a offense {c |}
   pact for {c |}
        the {c |}
 challenger {c |}
 applicable {c |}
to the dyad {c |}      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
          0 {c |}{res}  1,045,548       96.99       96.99
{txt}          1 {c |}{res}     32,444        3.01      100.00
{txt}{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
      Total {c |}{res}  1,077,992      100.00
{txt}
{com}. tab pchalneu

{txt}presence of {c |}
          a {c |}
 neutrality {c |}
   pact for {c |}
        the {c |}
 challenger {c |}
 applicable {c |}
to the dyad {c |}      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
          0 {c |}{res}  1,023,681       94.96       94.96
{txt}          1 {c |}{res}     54,311        5.04      100.00
{txt}{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
      Total {c |}{res}  1,077,992      100.00
{txt}
{com}. 
. tab ptargdef_secr if dispute==1

{txt}presence of {c |}
  a defense {c |}
   pact for {c |}
 the target {c |}
 applicable {c |}
to the dyad {c |}
  including {c |}
      secre {c |}      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
          0 {c |}{res}      1,220       51.83       51.83
{txt}          1 {c |}{res}      1,134       48.17      100.00
{txt}{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
      Total {c |}{res}      2,354      100.00
{txt}
{com}. 
. tab targ_resist if dispute==1

      {txt}codes {c |}
whether the {c |}
     target {c |}
resisted in {c |}
  the given {c |}
       year {c |}      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
          0 {c |}{res}      1,239       52.63       52.63
{txt}          1 {c |}{res}      1,115       47.37      100.00
{txt}{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
      Total {c |}{res}      2,354      100.00
{txt}
{com}. tab war if dispute==1

      {txt}codes {c |}
whether the {c |}
    dispute {c |}
  escalated {c |}
  to war in {c |}
  the given {c |}
       year {c |}      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
          0 {c |}{res}      2,261       96.05       96.05
{txt}          1 {c |}{res}         93        3.95      100.00
{txt}{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
      Total {c |}{res}      2,354      100.00
{txt}
{com}. 
. ***************
. *** Table 1 ***
. ***************
. 
. probit dispute ptargdef pchalally pchaloff pchalneu ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3 

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14885.021}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14097.89}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.532}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   1077992
{txt}{col 51}LR chi2({res}11{txt}){col 67}= {res}   5368.49
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-14089.525{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1600

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     dispute{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0615538{col 26}{space 2} .0154694{col 37}{space 1}   -3.98{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0918733{col 67}{space 3}-.0312342
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.067629{col 26}{space 2} .0156073{col 37}{space 1}   -4.33{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0982187{col 67}{space 3}-.0370394
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2762056{col 26}{space 2} .0286835{col 37}{space 1}    9.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .219987{col 67}{space 3} .3324243
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3146708{col 26}{space 2} .0251969{col 37}{space 1}   12.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2652859{col 67}{space 3} .3640557
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3836792{col 26}{space 2} .0064471{col 37}{space 1}  -59.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3963154{col 67}{space 3}-.3710431
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1611667{col 26}{space 2} .0224281{col 37}{space 1}    7.19{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1172084{col 67}{space 3} .2051249
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1545372{col 26}{space 2} .0266195{col 37}{space 1}   -5.81{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2067105{col 67}{space 3}-.1023638
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4553676{col 26}{space 2} .0412643{col 37}{space 1}  -11.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5362441{col 67}{space 3}-.3744911
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0420438{col 26}{space 2} .0013683{col 37}{space 1}  -30.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0447257{col 67}{space 3}-.0393619
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006635{col 26}{space 2}  .000028{col 37}{space 1}   23.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006085{col 67}{space 3} .0007184
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.78e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.48e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.82{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.07e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.49e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8266646{col 26}{space 2} .0675454{col 37}{space 1}   12.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6942781{col 67}{space 3} .9590511
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *********************************
. *** Table 1 Robustness Checks ***
. *********************************
.         
.         * Including Secret Alliances
.                 
.                 probit dispute ptargdef_secr pchalally pchaloff pchalneu ln_distance contig capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13870.697}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13351.796}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13333.554}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13333.518}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13333.518}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   1077992
{txt}{col 51}LR chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}   6880.51
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-13333.518{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2051

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     dispute{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
ptargdef_s~r {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0600372{col 26}{space 2}  .016084{col 37}{space 1}   -3.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0915613{col 67}{space 3}-.0285132
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0762617{col 26}{space 2} .0161879{col 37}{space 1}   -4.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1079894{col 67}{space 3}-.0445341
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2886817{col 26}{space 2} .0294772{col 37}{space 1}    9.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2309076{col 67}{space 3} .3464559
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2499179{col 26}{space 2} .0261832{col 37}{space 1}    9.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1985997{col 67}{space 3} .3012361
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1949495{col 26}{space 2} .0084843{col 37}{space 1}  -22.98{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2115785{col 67}{space 3}-.1783205
{txt}{space 6}contig {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8688782{col 26}{space 2} .0224809{col 37}{space 1}   38.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8248164{col 67}{space 3} .9129401
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1733418{col 26}{space 2} .0231729{col 37}{space 1}    7.48{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1279238{col 67}{space 3} .2187598
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1096834{col 26}{space 2} .0271258{col 37}{space 1}   -4.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1628491{col 67}{space 3}-.0565177
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.600419{col 26}{space 2} .0425006{col 37}{space 1}  -14.13{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6837187{col 67}{space 3}-.5171193
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0401791{col 26}{space 2} .0013965{col 37}{space 1}  -28.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0429162{col 67}{space 3}-.0374419
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .000636{col 26}{space 2} .0000284{col 37}{space 1}   22.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0005803{col 67}{space 3} .0006917
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.65e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.49e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -17.81{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.94e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.36e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.675432{col 26}{space 2} .0835588{col 37}{space 1}   -8.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.8392043{col 67}{space 3}-.5116598
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.         * Dropping directed dyads in which both states are members of the same defensive alliance from the sample
.         
.                 probit dispute ptargdef pchalally pchaloff pchalneu ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3 if defense_ally==0

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14626.15}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -13013.87}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-12290.208}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-12283.042}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-12283.036}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-12283.036}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   1031299
{txt}{col 51}LR chi2({res}11{txt}){col 67}= {res}   4686.23
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-12283.036{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1602

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     dispute{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1287413{col 26}{space 2} .0171039{col 37}{space 1}   -7.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1622643{col 67}{space 3}-.0952183
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1508027{col 26}{space 2}    .0172{col 37}{space 1}   -8.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.184514{col 67}{space 3}-.1170914
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2888222{col 26}{space 2} .0304564{col 37}{space 1}    9.48{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2291288{col 67}{space 3} .3485156
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2954421{col 26}{space 2} .0270633{col 37}{space 1}   10.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .242399{col 67}{space 3} .3484853
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3712716{col 26}{space 2} .0068733{col 37}{space 1}  -54.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3847429{col 67}{space 3}-.3578002
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1737183{col 26}{space 2} .0238163{col 37}{space 1}    7.29{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1270392{col 67}{space 3} .2203974
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2069532{col 26}{space 2} .0306238{col 37}{space 1}   -6.76{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2669748{col 67}{space 3}-.1469316
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6536291{col 26}{space 2}  .045529{col 37}{space 1}  -14.36{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.7428643{col 67}{space 3}-.5643939
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0424244{col 26}{space 2} .0014647{col 37}{space 1}  -28.96{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0452952{col 67}{space 3}-.0395536
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006643{col 26}{space 2}   .00003{col 37}{space 1}   22.13{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006055{col 67}{space 3} .0007232
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.73e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.58e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -17.25{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.04e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.42e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9245242{col 26}{space 2} .0707483{col 37}{space 1}   13.07{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}   .78586{col 67}{space 3} 1.063188
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.         * Coding all directed dyads in which both states are members of the same defensive alliance as having no allies committed to defending them
.         
.                 gen n_ptargdef=ptargdef
{txt}
{com}.                 recode n_ptargdef(1=0) if defense_ally==1
{txt}(n_ptargdef: 44361 changes made)

{com}. 
.                 probit dispute n_ptargdef pchalally pchaloff pchalneu ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14859.259}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14053.464}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14044.97}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14044.963}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14044.963}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   1077992
{txt}{col 51}LR chi2({res}11{txt}){col 67}= {res}   5457.62
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-14044.963{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1627

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     dispute{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}n_ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1672503{col 26}{space 2} .0165013{col 37}{space 1}  -10.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1995923{col 67}{space 3}-.1349083
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0801025{col 26}{space 2} .0154997{col 37}{space 1}   -5.17{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1104813{col 67}{space 3}-.0497237
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2722144{col 26}{space 2} .0287398{col 37}{space 1}    9.47{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2158853{col 67}{space 3} .3285435
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3142767{col 26}{space 2} .0252395{col 37}{space 1}   12.45{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2648082{col 67}{space 3} .3637452
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3798256{col 26}{space 2} .0064427{col 37}{space 1}  -58.95{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3924529{col 67}{space 3}-.3671982
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1482675{col 26}{space 2} .0224235{col 37}{space 1}    6.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1043182{col 67}{space 3} .1922167
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1606881{col 26}{space 2} .0266855{col 37}{space 1}   -6.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2129907{col 67}{space 3}-.1083854
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5754653{col 26}{space 2} .0425819{col 37}{space 1}  -13.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6589243{col 67}{space 3}-.4920062
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0418771{col 26}{space 2} .0013685{col 37}{space 1}  -30.60{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0445593{col 67}{space 3}-.0391949
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006563{col 26}{space 2}  .000028{col 37}{space 1}   23.45{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006014{col 67}{space 3} .0007111
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.74e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.47e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.03e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.45e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9460078{col 26}{space 2} .0676649{col 37}{space 1}   13.98{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8133871{col 67}{space 3} 1.078628
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.                 capture drop n_ptargdef
{txt}
{com}.                 
.         * Controlling for shared defensive alliance membership
. 
.                 probit dispute defense_ally ptargdef pchalally pchaloff pchalneu ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14787.554}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13962.249}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13953.346}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13953.339}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13953.339}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   1077992
{txt}{col 51}LR chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}   5640.87
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-13953.339{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1681

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     dispute{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
defense_ally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5082914{col 26}{space 2} .0297473{col 37}{space 1}   17.09{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4499878{col 67}{space 3}  .566595
{txt}{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1435028{col 26}{space 2} .0165799{col 37}{space 1}   -8.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1759989{col 67}{space 3}-.1110067
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1635375{col 26}{space 2} .0170569{col 37}{space 1}   -9.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1969684{col 67}{space 3}-.1301067
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2882853{col 26}{space 2} .0289624{col 37}{space 1}    9.95{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2315201{col 67}{space 3} .3450506
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3133584{col 26}{space 2}  .025318{col 37}{space 1}   12.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2637361{col 67}{space 3} .3629807
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3672673{col 26}{space 2} .0065554{col 37}{space 1}  -56.03{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3801157{col 67}{space 3} -.354419
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1646834{col 26}{space 2} .0225544{col 37}{space 1}    7.30{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1204775{col 67}{space 3} .2088893
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1689171{col 26}{space 2} .0267792{col 37}{space 1}   -6.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2214034{col 67}{space 3}-.1164309
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.7367351{col 26}{space 2} .0433253{col 37}{space 1}  -17.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.8216512{col 67}{space 3} -.651819
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0429312{col 26}{space 2} .0013758{col 37}{space 1}  -31.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0456278{col 67}{space 3}-.0402346
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006662{col 26}{space 2} .0000281{col 37}{space 1}   23.75{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006112{col 67}{space 3} .0007212
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.79e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.48e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.89{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.08e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.50e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9861651{col 26}{space 2} .0673077{col 37}{space 1}   14.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8542445{col 67}{space 3} 1.118086
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.         * Evaluating Post-Treatment Bias
.         
.                 probit dispute pchalally ln_distance capprop jdem peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14920.934}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14289.186}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14281.12}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14281.114}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14281.114}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   1077992
{txt}{col 51}LR chi2({res}7{txt}){col 67}= {res}   4985.32
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-14281.114{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1486

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     dispute{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0201224{col 26}{space 2} .0146489{col 37}{space 1}   -1.37{col 46}{space 3}0.170{col 54}{space 4}-.0488338{col 67}{space 3}  .008589
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3681638{col 26}{space 2}  .006249{col 37}{space 1}  -58.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3804117{col 67}{space 3} -.355916
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2169027{col 26}{space 2} .0219762{col 37}{space 1}    9.87{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}   .17383{col 67}{space 3} .2599753
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1887733{col 26}{space 2} .0264924{col 37}{space 1}   -7.13{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2406975{col 67}{space 3}-.1368491
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0415448{col 26}{space 2} .0013521{col 37}{space 1}  -30.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.044195{col 67}{space 3}-.0388947
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006631{col 26}{space 2} .0000277{col 37}{space 1}   23.97{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006089{col 67}{space 3} .0007173
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.80e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.46e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -19.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.08e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.51e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3001465{col 26}{space 2} .0491022{col 37}{space 1}    6.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2039079{col 67}{space 3} .3963851
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.                 
.                 probit dispute pchalally ln_distance jdem peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14960.624}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:  -14338.6}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14330.497}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14330.49}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14330.49}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   1077992
{txt}{col 51}LR chi2({res}6{txt}){col 67}= {res}   4886.56
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res} -14330.49{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1457

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     dispute{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0062126{col 26}{space 2} .0145529{col 37}{space 1}   -0.43{col 46}{space 3}0.669{col 54}{space 4}-.0347358{col 67}{space 3} .0223106
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3673949{col 26}{space 2} .0062318{col 37}{space 1}  -58.96{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3796089{col 67}{space 3}-.3551809
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1878751{col 26}{space 2} .0264562{col 37}{space 1}   -7.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2397282{col 67}{space 3}-.1360219
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0416504{col 26}{space 2}   .00135{col 37}{space 1}  -30.85{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0442964{col 67}{space 3}-.0390044
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006637{col 26}{space 2} .0000276{col 37}{space 1}   24.03{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006095{col 67}{space 3} .0007178
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.80e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.45e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -19.25{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.08e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.51e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4050453{col 26}{space 2} .0480261{col 37}{space 1}    8.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3109159{col 67}{space 3} .4991748
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.         
.                 probit dispute pchalally ln_distance peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14982.707}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14366.325}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14358.398}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14358.391}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14358.391}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   1077992
{txt}{col 51}LR chi2({res}5{txt}){col 67}= {res}   4830.76
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-14358.391{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1440

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     dispute{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0053815{col 26}{space 2}  .014534{col 37}{space 1}   -0.37{col 46}{space 3}0.711{col 54}{space 4}-.0338676{col 67}{space 3} .0231045
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3623805{col 26}{space 2}   .00617{col 37}{space 1}  -58.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3744734{col 67}{space 3}-.3502877
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0411223{col 26}{space 2} .0013425{col 37}{space 1}  -30.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0437536{col 67}{space 3} -.038491
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006494{col 26}{space 2} .0000273{col 37}{space 1}   23.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0005958{col 67}{space 3} .0007029
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.74e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.43e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -19.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.02e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.46e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3501457{col 26}{space 2} .0472926{col 37}{space 1}    7.40{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2574539{col 67}{space 3} .4428375
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.                 
.                 probit dispute pchalally peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16072.818}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:  -16009.2}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16008.942}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16008.942}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   1077992
{txt}{col 51}LR chi2({res}4{txt}){col 67}= {res}   1529.66
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-16008.942{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0456

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     dispute{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0038842{col 26}{space 2}  .013603{col 37}{space 1}   -0.29{col 46}{space 3}0.775{col 54}{space 4}-.0305456{col 67}{space 3} .0227771
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0428211{col 26}{space 2} .0012847{col 37}{space 1}  -33.33{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.045339{col 67}{space 3}-.0403032
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006803{col 26}{space 2} .0000267{col 37}{space 1}   25.47{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006279{col 67}{space 3} .0007326
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.88e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.43e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -20.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.16e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.60e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.422584{col 26}{space 2} .0132447{col 37}{space 1} -182.91{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.448543{col 67}{space 3}-2.396624
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.         * Evaluating the effect of "large alliances"
.         
.                 capture drop exclude
{txt}
{com}.                 gen exclude=0
{txt}
{com}. 
.                 * NATO
.                         replace exclude=1 if  t_def_atopid1>3180 & t_def_atopid1<3181 & t_def_atopid2==.
{txt}(28854 real changes made)

{com}. 
.                 * Arab Collective Defense
. 
.                         replace exclude=1 if t_def_atopid1==3205 & t_def_atopid2==.
{txt}(57507 real changes made)

{com}. 
.                 * OAS
. 
.                         replace exclude=1 if t_def_atopid1==3150 & t_def_atopid2==.
{txt}(6211 real changes made)

{com}.                 
.                 * Rio Pact
. 
.                         replace exclude=1 if t_def_atopid1==3075 & t_def_atopid2==.
{txt}(3 real changes made)

{com}.                         
.                 * OAS & Rio Pact
. 
.                         replace exclude=1 if t_def_atopid1==3075 & t_def_atopid2==3150 & t_def_atopid3==.
{txt}(123797 real changes made)

{com}.                         
.                 * Excluding "large" alliances
.                 
.                         probit dispute ptargdef pchalally pchaloff pchalneu ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3 if exclude==0

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14702.802}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13083.105}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-12529.413}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-12522.374}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-12522.368}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-12522.368}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}    861620
{txt}{col 51}LR chi2({res}11{txt}){col 67}= {res}   4360.87
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-12522.368{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1483

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     dispute{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0446157{col 26}{space 2} .0166635{col 37}{space 1}   -2.68{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4}-.0772755{col 67}{space 3} -.011956
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1047032{col 26}{space 2} .0167764{col 37}{space 1}   -6.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1375843{col 67}{space 3} -.071822
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3005331{col 26}{space 2} .0297041{col 37}{space 1}   10.12{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2423142{col 67}{space 3}  .358752
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3285978{col 26}{space 2} .0263325{col 37}{space 1}   12.48{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .276987{col 67}{space 3} .3802086
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3549958{col 26}{space 2} .0068235{col 37}{space 1}  -52.03{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3683696{col 67}{space 3} -.341622
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .148732{col 26}{space 2} .0235386{col 37}{space 1}    6.32{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1025972{col 67}{space 3} .1948668
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2001166{col 26}{space 2} .0300599{col 37}{space 1}   -6.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2590329{col 67}{space 3}-.1412003
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5984779{col 26}{space 2} .0438482{col 37}{space 1}  -13.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6844188{col 67}{space 3} -.512537
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0423784{col 26}{space 2} .0014462{col 37}{space 1}  -29.30{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0452128{col 67}{space 3}-.0395439
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006721{col 26}{space 2} .0000297{col 37}{space 1}   22.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006139{col 67}{space 3} .0007303
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.78e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.56e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -17.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.09e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.48e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7582461{col 26}{space 2} .0693294{col 37}{space 1}   10.94{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .622363{col 67}{space 3} .8941291
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
.                         capture drop exclude
{txt}
{com}. 
.         * Including contiguity
.         
.                 probit dispute ptargdef pchalally pchaloff pchalneu ln_distance contig capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13870.098}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13351.001}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13332.837}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13332.802}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-13332.802}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}   1077992
{txt}{col 51}LR chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}= {res}   6881.94
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-13332.802{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2051

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     dispute{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0631859{col 26}{space 2} .0161253{col 37}{space 1}   -3.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.094791{col 67}{space 3}-.0315809
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.073726{col 26}{space 2} .0162676{col 37}{space 1}   -4.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  -.10561{col 67}{space 3} -.041842
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2868845{col 26}{space 2} .0295013{col 37}{space 1}    9.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2290631{col 67}{space 3}  .344706
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2491846{col 26}{space 2} .0261886{col 37}{space 1}    9.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1978559{col 67}{space 3} .3005134
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.194726{col 26}{space 2} .0084849{col 37}{space 1}  -22.95{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2113561{col 67}{space 3}-.1780959
{txt}{space 6}contig {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8679104{col 26}{space 2} .0224796{col 37}{space 1}   38.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8238511{col 67}{space 3} .9119697
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1736643{col 26}{space 2} .0231417{col 37}{space 1}    7.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1283074{col 67}{space 3} .2190213
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1088992{col 26}{space 2}  .027122{col 37}{space 1}   -4.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.1620572{col 67}{space 3}-.0557411
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6002131{col 26}{space 2} .0424193{col 37}{space 1}  -14.15{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6833534{col 67}{space 3}-.5170729
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0401687{col 26}{space 2} .0013963{col 37}{space 1}  -28.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0429053{col 67}{space 3} -.037432
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006349{col 26}{space 2} .0000284{col 37}{space 1}   22.35{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0005792{col 67}{space 3} .0006906
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.64e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.49e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -17.76{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.94e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.35e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6774064{col 26}{space 2} .0833289{col 37}{space 1}   -8.13{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.840728{col 67}{space 3}-.5140847
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}.                 
. ***************
. *** Table 2 ***
. ***************
. 
. heckprob targ_resist ptargdef_secr pchaloff pchalneu capprop, select(dispute=ptargdef pchaloff pchalneu pchalally ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3)

{txt}Fitting probit model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -1628.401}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1615.3962}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -1615.391}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -1615.391}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting selection model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14885.021}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14097.89}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.532}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
{res}
{txt}Comparison:    log likelihood = {res}-15704.916

{txt}Fitting starting values:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1631.6685}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1555.8691}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1555.6718}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1555.6718}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15648.824}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15645.107}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15644.841}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15644.841}  
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}  1077992
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}  1075638
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}     2354

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}4{txt})       = {res}    52.14
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-15644.84                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}targ_resist  {txt}{c |}
ptargdef_s~r {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.103477{col 26}{space 2} .0480145{col 37}{space 1}   -2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4}-.1975837{col 67}{space 3}-.0093703
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2405525{col 26}{space 2} .0839189{col 37}{space 1}   -2.87{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}-.4050305{col 67}{space 3}-.0760746
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2613588{col 26}{space 2} .0754549{col 37}{space 1}   -3.46{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-.4092477{col 67}{space 3}-.1134698
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3044168{col 26}{space 2} .0737831{col 37}{space 1}   -4.13{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.449029{col 67}{space 3}-.1598047
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.672131{col 26}{space 2} .1187793{col 37}{space 1}   14.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.439328{col 67}{space 3} 1.904934
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}dispute      {txt}{c |}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0603533{col 26}{space 2} .0154349{col 37}{space 1}   -3.91{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0906051{col 67}{space 3}-.0301015
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2759595{col 26}{space 2} .0286639{col 37}{space 1}    9.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2197793{col 67}{space 3} .3321398
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3151718{col 26}{space 2} .0251962{col 37}{space 1}   12.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2657882{col 67}{space 3} .3645554
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0657495{col 26}{space 2} .0154328{col 37}{space 1}   -4.26{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0959973{col 67}{space 3}-.0355018
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3828867{col 26}{space 2} .0064427{col 37}{space 1}  -59.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3955142{col 67}{space 3}-.3702592
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1610937{col 26}{space 2} .0224243{col 37}{space 1}    7.18{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1171428{col 67}{space 3} .2050446
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1680648{col 26}{space 2}  .026663{col 37}{space 1}   -6.30{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2203234{col 67}{space 3}-.1158062
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4493999{col 26}{space 2} .0407859{col 37}{space 1}  -11.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5293388{col 67}{space 3} -.369461
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.042037{col 26}{space 2} .0013562{col 37}{space 1}  -31.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0446951{col 67}{space 3} -.039379
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006597{col 26}{space 2} .0000278{col 37}{space 1}   23.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006052{col 67}{space 3} .0007143
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.76e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.47e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.05e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.47e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8179041{col 26}{space 2} .0673926{col 37}{space 1}   12.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .685817{col 67}{space 3} .9499912
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     /athrho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.5878627{col 26}{space 2} .0515279{col 37}{space 1}  -11.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6888555{col 67}{space 3}-.4868699
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}         rho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.5283567{col 26}{space 2} .0371433{col 54}{space 4}-.5972462{col 67}{space 3}-.4517286
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}  120.15   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. 
. *********************************
. *** Table 2 Robustness Checks ***
. *********************************
. 
.         * Removing secret alliances
.         
.                 heckprob targ_resist ptargdef pchaloff pchalneu capprop, select(dispute=ptargdef pchaloff pchalneu pchalally ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs                 peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3)

{txt}Fitting probit model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -1628.401}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1616.2804}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1616.2754}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1616.2754}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting selection model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14885.021}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14097.89}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.532}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
{res}
{txt}Comparison:    log likelihood = {res}-15705.801

{txt}Fitting starting values:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1631.6685}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1556.7106}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1556.5212}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1556.5212}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15649.633}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15645.937}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15645.682}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15645.682}  
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}  1077992
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}  1075638
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}     2354

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}4{txt})       = {res}    50.50
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-15645.68                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}targ_resist  {txt}{c |}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0827526{col 26}{space 2} .0479493{col 37}{space 1}   -1.73{col 46}{space 3}0.084{col 54}{space 4}-.1767315{col 67}{space 3} .0112263
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2435432{col 26}{space 2} .0838976{col 37}{space 1}   -2.90{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}-.4079795{col 67}{space 3}-.0791069
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2635341{col 26}{space 2} .0754152{col 37}{space 1}   -3.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.4113451{col 67}{space 3}-.1157232
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.293784{col 26}{space 2}  .073424{col 37}{space 1}   -4.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.4376925{col 67}{space 3}-.1498756
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.655352{col 26}{space 2} .1184234{col 37}{space 1}   13.98{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.423246{col 67}{space 3} 1.887457
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}dispute      {txt}{c |}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0610616{col 26}{space 2} .0154497{col 37}{space 1}   -3.95{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0913425{col 67}{space 3}-.0307806
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2759919{col 26}{space 2}  .028664{col 37}{space 1}    9.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2198115{col 67}{space 3} .3321723
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3151667{col 26}{space 2} .0251962{col 37}{space 1}   12.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2657832{col 67}{space 3} .3645503
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0657148{col 26}{space 2} .0154343{col 37}{space 1}   -4.26{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0959654{col 67}{space 3}-.0354641
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3828417{col 26}{space 2}  .006443{col 37}{space 1}  -59.42{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3954698{col 67}{space 3}-.3702136
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1609678{col 26}{space 2} .0224244{col 37}{space 1}    7.18{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1170168{col 67}{space 3} .2049188
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1680901{col 26}{space 2}  .026664{col 37}{space 1}   -6.30{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2203506{col 67}{space 3}-.1158296
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4491229{col 26}{space 2} .0407922{col 37}{space 1}  -11.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5290742{col 67}{space 3}-.3691717
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0420341{col 26}{space 2} .0013561{col 37}{space 1}  -31.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0446921{col 67}{space 3}-.0393762
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006596{col 26}{space 2} .0000278{col 37}{space 1}   23.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006051{col 67}{space 3} .0007142
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.76e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.47e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.05e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.47e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8177548{col 26}{space 2} .0673982{col 37}{space 1}   12.13{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6856568{col 67}{space 3} .9498527
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     /athrho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.5881518{col 26}{space 2} .0515366{col 37}{space 1}  -11.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6891618{col 67}{space 3}-.4871419
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}         rho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.5285651{col 26}{space 2} .0371383{col 54}{space 4}-.5974432{col 67}{space 3} -.451945
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}  120.24   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. 
.         * Including each identifying variable in turn
.         
.                 heckprob targ_resist ptargdef_secr pchaloff pchalneu capprop pchalally, select(dispute=ptargdef pchaloff pchalneu pchalally ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs          peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3)

{txt}Fitting probit model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -1628.401}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1615.2303}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1615.2249}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1615.2249}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting selection model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14885.021}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14097.89}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.532}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
{res}
{txt}Comparison:    log likelihood = {res} -15704.75

{txt}Fitting starting values:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1631.6685}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1555.6634}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1555.4632}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1555.4632}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15648.649}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15644.906}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15644.643}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15644.642}  
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}  1077992
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}  1075638
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}     2354

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})       = {res}    52.55
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-15644.64                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}targ_resist  {txt}{c |}
ptargdef_s~r {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1121951{col 26}{space 2} .0499785{col 37}{space 1}   -2.24{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4}-.2101512{col 67}{space 3} -.014239
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2480947{col 26}{space 2} .0847754{col 37}{space 1}   -2.93{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-.4142514{col 67}{space 3} -.081938
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2640091{col 26}{space 2} .0755588{col 37}{space 1}   -3.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.4121017{col 67}{space 3}-.1159166
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3108117{col 26}{space 2} .0744665{col 37}{space 1}   -4.17{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.4567634{col 67}{space 3}  -.16486
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0308492{col 26}{space 2} .0489247{col 37}{space 1}    0.63{col 46}{space 3}0.528{col 54}{space 4}-.0650414{col 67}{space 3} .1267398
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.665215{col 26}{space 2}  .119393{col 37}{space 1}   13.95{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.431209{col 67}{space 3} 1.899221
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}dispute      {txt}{c |}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0601711{col 26}{space 2} .0154383{col 37}{space 1}   -3.90{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0904296{col 67}{space 3}-.0299125
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2763574{col 26}{space 2} .0286722{col 37}{space 1}    9.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2201608{col 67}{space 3}  .332554
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .315116{col 26}{space 2} .0251963{col 37}{space 1}   12.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2657322{col 67}{space 3} .3644997
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0671709{col 26}{space 2} .0155962{col 37}{space 1}   -4.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.097739{col 67}{space 3}-.0366028
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.382858{col 26}{space 2}  .006443{col 37}{space 1}  -59.42{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3954859{col 67}{space 3}  -.37023
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1612715{col 26}{space 2} .0224262{col 37}{space 1}    7.19{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .117317{col 67}{space 3}  .205226
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1681654{col 26}{space 2} .0266662{col 37}{space 1}   -6.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2204302{col 67}{space 3}-.1159007
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4495148{col 26}{space 2} .0407927{col 37}{space 1}  -11.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.529467{col 67}{space 3}-.3695626
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0420314{col 26}{space 2} .0013562{col 37}{space 1}  -30.99{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0446896{col 67}{space 3}-.0393733
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006596{col 26}{space 2} .0000278{col 37}{space 1}   23.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006051{col 67}{space 3} .0007142
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.76e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.47e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.05e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.47e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8182758{col 26}{space 2} .0673919{col 37}{space 1}   12.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6861901{col 67}{space 3} .9503615
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     /athrho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.5880221{col 26}{space 2} .0515268{col 37}{space 1}  -11.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6890127{col 67}{space 3}-.4870314
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}         rho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.5284716{col 26}{space 2} .0371363{col 54}{space 4}-.5973474{col 67}{space 3}-.4518571
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}  120.22   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. 
.                 heckprob targ_resist ptargdef_secr pchaloff pchalneu capprop ln_distance, select(dispute=ptargdef pchaloff pchalneu pchalally ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3)

{txt}Fitting probit model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -1628.401}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1583.6032}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1583.5668}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1583.5668}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting selection model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14885.021}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14097.89}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.532}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
{res}
{txt}Comparison:    log likelihood = {res}-15673.092

{txt}Fitting starting values:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1631.6685}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1554.1131}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1553.8602}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1553.8602}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15659.403}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -15652.98}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15643.227}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15642.969}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15642.951}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15642.951}  
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}  1077992
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}  1075638
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}     2354

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})       = {res}    64.45
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-15642.95                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}targ_resist  {txt}{c |}
ptargdef_s~r {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0913121{col 26}{space 2} .0454621{col 37}{space 1}   -2.01{col 46}{space 3}0.045{col 54}{space 4}-.1804162{col 67}{space 3} -.002208
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2563801{col 26}{space 2} .0790368{col 37}{space 1}   -3.24{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-.4112895{col 67}{space 3}-.1014708
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2964471{col 26}{space 2} .0725866{col 37}{space 1}   -4.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.4387143{col 67}{space 3}-.1541799
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.302138{col 26}{space 2} .0692084{col 37}{space 1}   -4.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.4377839{col 67}{space 3} -.166492
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0634636{col 26}{space 2} .0305186{col 37}{space 1}    2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4} .0036483{col 67}{space 3} .1232789
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.491737{col 26}{space 2} .1425076{col 37}{space 1}   10.47{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.212427{col 67}{space 3} 1.771047
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}dispute      {txt}{c |}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0596483{col 26}{space 2} .0154202{col 37}{space 1}   -3.87{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0898714{col 67}{space 3}-.0294252
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2755324{col 26}{space 2} .0286501{col 37}{space 1}    9.62{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2193792{col 67}{space 3} .3316856
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3157366{col 26}{space 2} .0251941{col 37}{space 1}   12.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2663571{col 67}{space 3} .3651161
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0645072{col 26}{space 2} .0153476{col 37}{space 1}   -4.20{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0945879{col 67}{space 3}-.0344265
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3836775{col 26}{space 2} .0064443{col 37}{space 1}  -59.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.396308{col 67}{space 3} -.371047
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1611969{col 26}{space 2} .0224283{col 37}{space 1}    7.19{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1172382{col 67}{space 3} .2051557
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1701518{col 26}{space 2} .0265398{col 37}{space 1}   -6.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2221689{col 67}{space 3}-.1181347
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4415061{col 26}{space 2} .0408099{col 37}{space 1}  -10.82{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.521492{col 67}{space 3}-.3615201
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0416536{col 26}{space 2} .0013712{col 37}{space 1}  -30.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0443411{col 67}{space 3}-.0389661
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006525{col 26}{space 2}  .000028{col 37}{space 1}   23.27{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0005975{col 67}{space 3} .0007074
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.73e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.47e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.01e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.44e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8140323{col 26}{space 2}  .067314{col 37}{space 1}   12.09{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6820992{col 67}{space 3} .9459654
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     /athrho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.7283802{col 26}{space 2} .0864895{col 37}{space 1}   -8.42{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.8978965{col 67}{space 3}-.5588639
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}         rho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.6220734{col 26}{space 2} .0530202{col 54}{space 4}-.7152721{col 67}{space 3} -.507134
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   60.28   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. 
.                 heckprob targ_resist ptargdef_secr pchaloff pchalneu capprop s_un_glo, select(dispute=ptargdef pchaloff pchalneu pchalally ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3)

{txt}Fitting probit model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -1628.401}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1610.2089}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1610.2024}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1610.2024}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting selection model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14885.021}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14097.89}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.532}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
{res}
{txt}Comparison:    log likelihood = {res}-15699.728

{txt}Fitting starting values:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1631.6685}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1555.7155}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1555.5207}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1555.5207}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15648.448}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15644.939}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15644.706}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15644.706}  
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}  1077992
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}  1075638
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}     2354

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})       = {res}    52.12
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-15644.71                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}targ_resist  {txt}{c |}
ptargdef_s~r {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0981273{col 26}{space 2} .0492334{col 37}{space 1}   -1.99{col 46}{space 3}0.046{col 54}{space 4} -.194623{col 67}{space 3}-.0016316
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2341899{col 26}{space 2}   .08503{col 37}{space 1}   -2.75{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4}-.4008457{col 67}{space 3}-.0675341
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2594102{col 26}{space 2} .0757773{col 37}{space 1}   -3.42{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-.4079311{col 67}{space 3}-.1108894
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3037119{col 26}{space 2} .0740111{col 37}{space 1}   -4.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.4487711{col 67}{space 3}-.1586527
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0625538{col 26}{space 2} .1206355{col 37}{space 1}    0.52{col 46}{space 3}0.604{col 54}{space 4}-.1738875{col 67}{space 3}  .298995
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.605336{col 26}{space 2} .1765148{col 37}{space 1}    9.09{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.259373{col 67}{space 3} 1.951299
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}dispute      {txt}{c |}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -.06067{col 26}{space 2} .0154477{col 37}{space 1}   -3.93{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.090947{col 67}{space 3}-.0303931
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2757187{col 26}{space 2} .0286683{col 37}{space 1}    9.62{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2195299{col 67}{space 3} .3319075
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3151688{col 26}{space 2} .0251964{col 37}{space 1}   12.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2657848{col 67}{space 3} .3645528
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0658404{col 26}{space 2} .0154382{col 37}{space 1}   -4.26{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0960988{col 67}{space 3}-.0355821
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.382881{col 26}{space 2} .0064429{col 37}{space 1}  -59.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.395509{col 67}{space 3}-.3702531
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1610625{col 26}{space 2} .0224233{col 37}{space 1}    7.18{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1171137{col 67}{space 3} .2050113
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.167951{col 26}{space 2} .0266708{col 37}{space 1}   -6.30{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2202249{col 67}{space 3}-.1156771
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4526861{col 26}{space 2} .0412492{col 37}{space 1}  -10.97{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5335331{col 67}{space 3}-.3718391
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0420558{col 26}{space 2} .0013568{col 37}{space 1}  -31.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0447151{col 67}{space 3}-.0393966
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006601{col 26}{space 2} .0000278{col 37}{space 1}   23.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006055{col 67}{space 3} .0007147
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.76e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.47e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.05e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.47e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8207807{col 26}{space 2} .0675753{col 37}{space 1}   12.15{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6883356{col 67}{space 3} .9532259
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     /athrho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.5811543{col 26}{space 2} .0532023{col 37}{space 1}  -10.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6854289{col 67}{space 3}-.4768797
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}         rho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.5235039{col 26}{space 2} .0386219{col 54}{space 4}-.5950374{col 67}{space 3}-.4437412
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}  110.04   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. 
.                 heckprob targ_resist ptargdef_secr pchaloff pchalneu capprop jdem, select(dispute=ptargdef pchaloff pchalneu pchalally ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3)

{txt}Fitting probit model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -1628.401}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1605.9024}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1605.8904}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1605.8904}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting selection model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14885.021}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14097.89}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.532}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
{res}
{txt}Comparison:    log likelihood = {res}-15695.416

{txt}Fitting starting values:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1631.6685}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1548.2723}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1548.0014}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1548.0014}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15641.127}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15637.501}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15637.286}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-15637.286}  
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}  1077992
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}  1075638
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}     2354

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})       = {res}    66.80
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-15637.29                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}targ_resist  {txt}{c |}
ptargdef_s~r {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0950252{col 26}{space 2} .0482736{col 37}{space 1}   -1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.049{col 54}{space 4}-.1896397{col 67}{space 3}-.0004107
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2589121{col 26}{space 2} .0844361{col 37}{space 1}   -3.07{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} -.424404{col 67}{space 3}-.0934203
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2702374{col 26}{space 2} .0756835{col 37}{space 1}   -3.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.4185743{col 67}{space 3}-.1219005
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3011295{col 26}{space 2} .0741405{col 37}{space 1}   -4.06{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.4464423{col 67}{space 3}-.1558167
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3323543{col 26}{space 2} .0868143{col 37}{space 1}   -3.83{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5025072{col 67}{space 3}-.1622014
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.680225{col 26}{space 2} .1196918{col 37}{space 1}   14.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.445633{col 67}{space 3} 1.914816
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}dispute      {txt}{c |}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0601309{col 26}{space 2} .0154355{col 37}{space 1}   -3.90{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0903839{col 67}{space 3}-.0298779
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2769117{col 26}{space 2}  .028668{col 37}{space 1}    9.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2207234{col 67}{space 3}    .3331
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3152254{col 26}{space 2} .0251958{col 37}{space 1}   12.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2658427{col 67}{space 3} .3646082
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.065341{col 26}{space 2}  .015439{col 37}{space 1}   -4.23{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.095601{col 67}{space 3}-.0350811
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3829638{col 26}{space 2} .0064412{col 37}{space 1}  -59.46{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3955883{col 67}{space 3}-.3703392
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1609853{col 26}{space 2} .0224255{col 37}{space 1}    7.18{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1170321{col 67}{space 3} .2049385
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1528842{col 26}{space 2} .0266119{col 37}{space 1}   -5.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2050426{col 67}{space 3}-.1007257
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.448516{col 26}{space 2} .0408172{col 37}{space 1}  -10.99{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5285162{col 67}{space 3}-.3685159
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0420333{col 26}{space 2} .0013561{col 37}{space 1}  -31.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0446911{col 67}{space 3}-.0393755
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006597{col 26}{space 2} .0000278{col 37}{space 1}   23.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006051{col 67}{space 3} .0007142
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.76e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.47e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.82{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.05e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.47e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8161458{col 26}{space 2} .0674292{col 37}{space 1}   12.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6839869{col 67}{space 3} .9483047
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     /athrho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.5802004{col 26}{space 2} .0517709{col 37}{space 1}  -11.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6816694{col 67}{space 3}-.4787314
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}         rho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.5228111{col 26}{space 2} .0376203{col 54}{space 4}-.5926036{col 67}{space 3}-.4452271
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}  116.26   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0000
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}.         
. ***************
. *** Table 3 ***
. ***************
. 
. heckprob war ptargdef_secr pchaloff pchalneu capprop, select(dispute=ptargdef pchaloff pchalneu pchalally ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3)

{txt}Fitting probit model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-391.64651}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-376.19384}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-375.66888}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -375.6668}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -375.6668}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting selection model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14885.021}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14097.89}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.532}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
{res}
{txt}Comparison:    log likelihood = {res}-14465.192

{txt}Fitting starting values:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1631.6685}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -389.5998}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-370.66319}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:   -370.62}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-370.61999}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14461.69}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14460.153}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14460.147}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14460.147}  
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}  1077992
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}  1075638
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}     2354

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}4{txt})       = {res}    27.72
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-14460.15                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}war          {txt}{c |}
ptargdef_s~r {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4793236{col 26}{space 2} .1054967{col 37}{space 1}   -4.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6860933{col 67}{space 3} -.272554
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2524527{col 26}{space 2} .1502377{col 37}{space 1}    1.68{col 46}{space 3}0.093{col 54}{space 4}-.0420078{col 67}{space 3} .5469132
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4668237{col 26}{space 2} .1902195{col 37}{space 1}   -2.45{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4} -.839647{col 67}{space 3}-.0940004
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1264135{col 26}{space 2}   .15265{col 37}{space 1}   -0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.408{col 54}{space 4}-.4256021{col 67}{space 3} .1727751
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6006188{col 26}{space 2} .2980446{col 37}{space 1}   -2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.044{col 54}{space 4}-1.184776{col 67}{space 3}-.0164621
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}dispute      {txt}{c |}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0620805{col 26}{space 2}  .015469{col 37}{space 1}   -4.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0923992{col 67}{space 3}-.0317617
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2761726{col 26}{space 2} .0286824{col 37}{space 1}    9.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2199562{col 67}{space 3} .3323891
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3147595{col 26}{space 2} .0251964{col 37}{space 1}   12.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2653756{col 67}{space 3} .3641435
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0686839{col 26}{space 2} .0155977{col 37}{space 1}   -4.40{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0992548{col 67}{space 3}-.0381129
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3836794{col 26}{space 2} .0064456{col 37}{space 1}  -59.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3963125{col 67}{space 3}-.3710462
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1612143{col 26}{space 2}  .022427{col 37}{space 1}    7.19{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1172582{col 67}{space 3} .2051704
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.156237{col 26}{space 2} .0266465{col 37}{space 1}   -5.86{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2084633{col 67}{space 3}-.1040107
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4574574{col 26}{space 2} .0412318{col 37}{space 1}  -11.09{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5382702{col 67}{space 3}-.3766446
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0420098{col 26}{space 2} .0013679{col 37}{space 1}  -30.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0446908{col 67}{space 3}-.0393288
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006627{col 26}{space 2}  .000028{col 37}{space 1}   23.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006078{col 67}{space 3} .0007177
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.78e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.48e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.07e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.49e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8291453{col 26}{space 2} .0674953{col 37}{space 1}   12.28{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .696857{col 67}{space 3} .9614335
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     /athrho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.3130253{col 26}{space 2} .0959783{col 37}{space 1}   -3.26{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-.5011393{col 67}{space 3}-.1249114
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}         rho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.3031868{col 26}{space 2} .0871557{col 54}{space 4}-.4630127{col 67}{space 3}-.1242658
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   10.09   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0015
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. 
. *********************************
. *** Table 3 Robustness Checks ***
. *********************************
. 
.         * Removing secret alliances
.         
.                 heckprob war ptargdef pchaloff pchalneu capprop, select(dispute=ptargdef pchaloff pchalneu pchalally ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3)

{txt}Fitting probit model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-391.64651}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-372.44566}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-371.59877}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-371.59679}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-371.59679}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting selection model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14885.021}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14097.89}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.532}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
{res}
{txt}Comparison:    log likelihood = {res}-14461.122

{txt}Fitting starting values:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1631.6685}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-388.17101}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-366.91194}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-366.85205}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-366.85201}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-366.85201}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14457.747}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14456.389}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14456.384}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14456.384}  
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}  1077992
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}  1075638
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}     2354

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}4{txt})       = {res}    32.96
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-14456.38                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}war          {txt}{c |}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5741755{col 26}{space 2} .1123818{col 37}{space 1}   -5.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.7944398{col 67}{space 3}-.3539111
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2378184{col 26}{space 2} .1513281{col 37}{space 1}    1.57{col 46}{space 3}0.116{col 54}{space 4}-.0587793{col 67}{space 3} .5344161
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4686019{col 26}{space 2} .1916973{col 37}{space 1}   -2.44{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4}-.8443218{col 67}{space 3}-.0928821
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1415882{col 26}{space 2} .1530555{col 37}{space 1}   -0.93{col 46}{space 3}0.355{col 54}{space 4}-.4415715{col 67}{space 3} .1583951
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5980752{col 26}{space 2} .2991348{col 37}{space 1}   -2.00{col 46}{space 3}0.046{col 54}{space 4}-1.184369{col 67}{space 3}-.0117818
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}dispute      {txt}{c |}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0614837{col 26}{space 2} .0154684{col 37}{space 1}   -3.97{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0918012{col 67}{space 3}-.0311661
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2761764{col 26}{space 2} .0286821{col 37}{space 1}    9.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2199604{col 67}{space 3} .3323923
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3147693{col 26}{space 2} .0251964{col 37}{space 1}   12.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2653852{col 67}{space 3} .3641534
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0684719{col 26}{space 2} .0155971{col 37}{space 1}   -4.39{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0990417{col 67}{space 3}-.0379021
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3836906{col 26}{space 2} .0064457{col 37}{space 1}  -59.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.396324{col 67}{space 3}-.3710573
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1612769{col 26}{space 2} .0224272{col 37}{space 1}    7.19{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1173204{col 67}{space 3} .2052333
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1560916{col 26}{space 2} .0266447{col 37}{space 1}   -5.86{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2083142{col 67}{space 3} -.103869
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.456966{col 26}{space 2} .0412322{col 37}{space 1}  -11.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5377796{col 67}{space 3}-.3761524
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.042015{col 26}{space 2} .0013679{col 37}{space 1}  -30.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.044696{col 67}{space 3}-.0393339
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006628{col 26}{space 2}  .000028{col 37}{space 1}   23.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006078{col 67}{space 3} .0007178
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.78e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.48e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.07e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.49e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8284545{col 26}{space 2} .0675044{col 37}{space 1}   12.27{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6961484{col 67}{space 3} .9607606
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     /athrho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.3056458{col 26}{space 2} .0967785{col 37}{space 1}   -3.16{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-.4953282{col 67}{space 3}-.1159633
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}         rho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.2964707{col 26}{space 2} .0882722{col 54}{space 4}-.4584351{col 67}{space 3}-.1154463
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    9.48   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0021
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}.         
.         * Including each identifying variable in turn
.         
.                 heckprob war ptargdef_secr pchaloff pchalneu capprop pchalally, select(dispute=ptargdef pchaloff pchalneu pchalally ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs          peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3)

{txt}Fitting probit model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-391.64651}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-375.25235}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-374.66699}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-374.66465}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-374.66465}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting selection model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14885.021}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14097.89}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.532}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
{res}
{txt}Comparison:    log likelihood = {res} -14464.19

{txt}Fitting starting values:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1631.6685}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-389.20877}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-369.39971}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-369.36074}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-369.36073}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14460.587}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14458.897}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14458.89}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14458.89}  
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}  1077992
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}  1075638
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}     2354

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})       = {res}    29.92
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-14458.89                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}war          {txt}{c |}
ptargdef_s~r {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4448534{col 26}{space 2} .1075303{col 37}{space 1}   -4.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6556089{col 67}{space 3} -.234098
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2941016{col 26}{space 2} .1529241{col 37}{space 1}    1.92{col 46}{space 3}0.054{col 54}{space 4}-.0056242{col 67}{space 3} .5938274
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4546279{col 26}{space 2} .1900887{col 37}{space 1}   -2.39{col 46}{space 3}0.017{col 54}{space 4}-.8271949{col 67}{space 3} -.082061
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1043261{col 26}{space 2} .1532395{col 37}{space 1}   -0.68{col 46}{space 3}0.496{col 54}{space 4}-.4046701{col 67}{space 3} .1960178
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1558369{col 26}{space 2} .0985827{col 37}{space 1}   -1.58{col 46}{space 3}0.114{col 54}{space 4}-.3490554{col 67}{space 3} .0373817
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.538786{col 26}{space 2} .2987515{col 37}{space 1}   -1.80{col 46}{space 3}0.071{col 54}{space 4}-1.124328{col 67}{space 3} .0467562
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}dispute      {txt}{c |}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0622419{col 26}{space 2} .0154693{col 37}{space 1}   -4.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0925612{col 67}{space 3}-.0319227
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2758681{col 26}{space 2} .0286821{col 37}{space 1}    9.62{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2196522{col 67}{space 3}  .332084
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3148027{col 26}{space 2} .0251964{col 37}{space 1}   12.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2654186{col 67}{space 3} .3641868
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0676596{col 26}{space 2} .0156068{col 37}{space 1}   -4.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0982483{col 67}{space 3}-.0370709
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3837054{col 26}{space 2} .0064455{col 37}{space 1}  -59.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3963383{col 67}{space 3}-.3710725
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .161083{col 26}{space 2} .0224271{col 37}{space 1}    7.18{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1171267{col 67}{space 3} .2050393
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.156184{col 26}{space 2} .0266442{col 37}{space 1}   -5.86{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2084058{col 67}{space 3}-.1039623
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4574941{col 26}{space 2} .0412261{col 37}{space 1}  -11.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5382958{col 67}{space 3}-.3766924
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0420134{col 26}{space 2} .0013679{col 37}{space 1}  -30.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0446943{col 67}{space 3}-.0393324
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006628{col 26}{space 2}  .000028{col 37}{space 1}   23.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006078{col 67}{space 3} .0007178
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.78e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.48e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.07e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.49e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8290218{col 26}{space 2} .0674947{col 37}{space 1}   12.28{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6967347{col 67}{space 3} .9613089
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     /athrho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.3204849{col 26}{space 2} .0957427{col 37}{space 1}   -3.35{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-.5081372{col 67}{space 3}-.1328326
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}         rho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.3099453{col 26}{space 2} .0865451{col 54}{space 4}-.4684925{col 67}{space 3}-.1320568
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   10.60   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0011
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. 
.                 heckprob war ptargdef_secr pchaloff pchalneu capprop ln_distance, select(dispute=ptargdef pchaloff pchalneu pchalally ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3)

{txt}Fitting probit model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-391.64651}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-373.58898}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-372.92348}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:  -372.921}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:  -372.921}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting selection model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14885.021}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14097.89}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.532}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
{res}
{txt}Comparison:    log likelihood = {res}-14462.446

{txt}Fitting starting values:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1631.6685}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-389.54098}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-370.41954}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-370.37537}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-370.37536}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14465.874}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14462.259}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14459.922}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14459.902}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14459.902}  
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}  1077992
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}  1075638
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}     2354

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})       = {res}    30.05
{txt}Log likelihood = {res} -14459.9                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}war          {txt}{c |}
ptargdef_s~r {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4559482{col 26}{space 2} .1082223{col 37}{space 1}   -4.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6680601{col 67}{space 3}-.2438363
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2210541{col 26}{space 2} .1519955{col 37}{space 1}    1.45{col 46}{space 3}0.146{col 54}{space 4}-.0768515{col 67}{space 3} .5189597
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4974797{col 26}{space 2} .1880822{col 37}{space 1}   -2.65{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4}-.8661141{col 67}{space 3}-.1288454
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1377443{col 26}{space 2} .1480815{col 37}{space 1}   -0.93{col 46}{space 3}0.352{col 54}{space 4}-.4279787{col 67}{space 3} .1524902
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0504383{col 26}{space 2} .0694299{col 37}{space 1}    0.73{col 46}{space 3}0.468{col 54}{space 4}-.0856418{col 67}{space 3} .1865183
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6266335{col 26}{space 2} .2945806{col 37}{space 1}   -2.13{col 46}{space 3}0.033{col 54}{space 4}-1.204001{col 67}{space 3}-.0492661
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}dispute      {txt}{c |}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0622453{col 26}{space 2} .0154689{col 37}{space 1}   -4.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0925637{col 67}{space 3}-.0319269
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2760977{col 26}{space 2} .0286811{col 37}{space 1}    9.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2198838{col 67}{space 3} .3323115
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3148398{col 26}{space 2} .0251961{col 37}{space 1}   12.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2654563{col 67}{space 3} .3642233
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0689932{col 26}{space 2}  .015591{col 37}{space 1}   -4.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} -.099551{col 67}{space 3}-.0384354
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3837913{col 26}{space 2} .0064462{col 37}{space 1}  -59.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3964256{col 67}{space 3} -.371157
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .161244{col 26}{space 2} .0224271{col 37}{space 1}    7.19{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1172877{col 67}{space 3} .2052003
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1567325{col 26}{space 2} .0266499{col 37}{space 1}   -5.88{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2089653{col 67}{space 3}-.1044997
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4577645{col 26}{space 2} .0412035{col 37}{space 1}  -11.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5385218{col 67}{space 3}-.3770071
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0419561{col 26}{space 2} .0013707{col 37}{space 1}  -30.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0446425{col 67}{space 3}-.0392696
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006618{col 26}{space 2} .0000281{col 37}{space 1}   23.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006068{col 67}{space 3} .0007168
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.78e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.48e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.75{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.07e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.49e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .830099{col 26}{space 2} .0674788{col 37}{space 1}   12.30{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .697843{col 67}{space 3}  .962355
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     /athrho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.4219838{col 26}{space 2} .1798019{col 37}{space 1}   -2.35{col 46}{space 3}0.019{col 54}{space 4}-.7743891{col 67}{space 3}-.0695785
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}         rho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.3986004{col 26}{space 2} .1512346{col 54}{space 4}-.6494744{col 67}{space 3}-.0694665
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    5.09   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0241
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. 
.                 heckprob war ptargdef_secr pchaloff pchalneu capprop s_un_glo, select(dispute=ptargdef pchaloff pchalneu pchalally ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3)

{txt}Fitting probit model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-391.64651}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-376.18308}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-375.65706}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-375.65496}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-375.65496}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting selection model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14885.021}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14097.89}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.532}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
{res}
{txt}Comparison:    log likelihood = {res} -14465.18

{txt}Fitting starting values:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1631.6685}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-389.40408}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-370.32714}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-370.27814}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-370.27813}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14461.738}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14459.816}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14459.808}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14459.808}  
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}  1077992
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}  1075638
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}     2354

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})       = {res}    28.40
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-14459.81                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}war          {txt}{c |}
ptargdef_s~r {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4949217{col 26}{space 2} .1072586{col 37}{space 1}   -4.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.7051447{col 67}{space 3}-.2846987
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2275509{col 26}{space 2}  .152499{col 37}{space 1}    1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.136{col 54}{space 4}-.0713416{col 67}{space 3} .5264434
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4794816{col 26}{space 2} .1911157{col 37}{space 1}   -2.51{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4}-.8540615{col 67}{space 3}-.1049017
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1353545{col 26}{space 2}  .151978{col 37}{space 1}   -0.89{col 46}{space 3}0.373{col 54}{space 4}-.4332259{col 67}{space 3} .1625169
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2241751{col 26}{space 2} .2672927{col 37}{space 1}   -0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.402{col 54}{space 4}-.7480591{col 67}{space 3} .2997089
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3594641{col 26}{space 2} .4103708{col 37}{space 1}   -0.88{col 46}{space 3}0.381{col 54}{space 4}-1.163776{col 67}{space 3} .4448479
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}dispute      {txt}{c |}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.061969{col 26}{space 2}  .015469{col 37}{space 1}   -4.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0922877{col 67}{space 3}-.0316504
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2762903{col 26}{space 2} .0286827{col 37}{space 1}    9.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2200733{col 67}{space 3} .3325073
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3147555{col 26}{space 2} .0251963{col 37}{space 1}   12.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2653716{col 67}{space 3} .3641393
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0687619{col 26}{space 2} .0155966{col 37}{space 1}   -4.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0993307{col 67}{space 3} -.038193
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3836791{col 26}{space 2} .0064456{col 37}{space 1}  -59.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3963121{col 67}{space 3} -.371046
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1612367{col 26}{space 2} .0224275{col 37}{space 1}    7.19{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1172797{col 67}{space 3} .2051937
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1563417{col 26}{space 2} .0266466{col 37}{space 1}   -5.87{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2085681{col 67}{space 3}-.1041153
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4562369{col 26}{space 2}  .041263{col 37}{space 1}  -11.06{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5371109{col 67}{space 3} -.375363
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0420027{col 26}{space 2} .0013679{col 37}{space 1}  -30.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0446838{col 67}{space 3}-.0393217
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006626{col 26}{space 2}  .000028{col 37}{space 1}   23.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006076{col 67}{space 3} .0007176
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.78e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.48e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.07e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.49e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .828117{col 26}{space 2} .0675196{col 37}{space 1}   12.26{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6957811{col 67}{space 3} .9604529
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     /athrho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.3292206{col 26}{space 2} .0974849{col 37}{space 1}   -3.38{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-.5202874{col 67}{space 3}-.1381537
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}         rho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.3178202{col 26}{space 2}  .087638{col 54}{space 4}-.4779218{col 67}{space 3}-.1372814
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}   10.74   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0010
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}. 
.                 heckprob war ptargdef_secr pchaloff pchalneu capprop jdem, select(dispute=ptargdef pchaloff pchalneu pchalally ln_distance capprop jdem s_un_glo peaceyrs peaceyrs2 peaceyrs3)

{txt}Fitting probit model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-391.64651}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-373.86318}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-372.96862}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-372.96378}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-372.96378}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting selection model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-16773.772}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14885.021}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -14097.89}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.532}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14089.525}  
{res}
{txt}Comparison:    log likelihood = {res}-14462.489

{txt}Fitting starting values:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-1631.6685}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -388.8592}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-368.28688}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-368.13683}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-368.13621}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-368.13621}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14459.045}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14457.673}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14457.668}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-14457.668}  
{res}
{txt}Probit model with sample selection              Number of obs      = {res}  1077992
{txt}                                                Censored obs       = {res}  1075638
                                                {txt}Uncensored obs     = {res}     2354

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}5{txt})       = {res}    30.81
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-14457.67                      {txt}Prob > chi2        =    {res}0.0000

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}war          {txt}{c |}
ptargdef_s~r {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4722052{col 26}{space 2} .1059041{col 37}{space 1}   -4.46{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.6797735{col 67}{space 3} -.264637
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2407442{col 26}{space 2} .1507937{col 37}{space 1}    1.60{col 46}{space 3}0.110{col 54}{space 4}-.0548059{col 67}{space 3} .5362943
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4794823{col 26}{space 2} .1911691{col 37}{space 1}   -2.51{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4}-.8541667{col 67}{space 3}-.1047978
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1184378{col 26}{space 2} .1531486{col 37}{space 1}   -0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.439{col 54}{space 4}-.4186034{col 67}{space 3} .1817279
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5168415{col 26}{space 2}  .265915{col 37}{space 1}   -1.94{col 46}{space 3}0.052{col 54}{space 4}-1.038025{col 67}{space 3} .0043424
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5995475{col 26}{space 2} .2982901{col 37}{space 1}   -2.01{col 46}{space 3}0.044{col 54}{space 4}-1.184185{col 67}{space 3}-.0149097
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}dispute      {txt}{c |}
{space 4}ptargdef {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0620541{col 26}{space 2}  .015469{col 37}{space 1}   -4.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0923728{col 67}{space 3}-.0317354
{txt}{space 4}pchaloff {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2762794{col 26}{space 2} .0286828{col 37}{space 1}    9.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2200621{col 67}{space 3} .3324968
{txt}{space 4}pchalneu {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3147686{col 26}{space 2} .0251964{col 37}{space 1}   12.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2653847{col 67}{space 3} .3641526
{txt}{space 3}pchalally {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.068573{col 26}{space 2} .0155978{col 37}{space 1}   -4.40{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0991442{col 67}{space 3}-.0380019
{txt}{space 1}ln_distance {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3836895{col 26}{space 2} .0064454{col 37}{space 1}  -59.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.3963223{col 67}{space 3}-.3710567
{txt}{space 5}capprop {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1611929{col 26}{space 2} .0224271{col 37}{space 1}    7.19{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1172366{col 67}{space 3} .2051492
{txt}{space 8}jdem {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1541853{col 26}{space 2} .0266184{col 37}{space 1}   -5.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.2063565{col 67}{space 3}-.1020142
{txt}{space 4}s_un_glo {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.457421{col 26}{space 2} .0412345{col 37}{space 1}  -11.09{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.5382391{col 67}{space 3}-.3766028
{txt}{space 4}peaceyrs {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0420093{col 26}{space 2} .0013679{col 37}{space 1}  -30.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.0446904{col 67}{space 3}-.0393282
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0006627{col 26}{space 2}  .000028{col 37}{space 1}   23.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .0006077{col 67}{space 3} .0007177
{txt}{space 3}peaceyrs3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.78e-06{col 26}{space 2} 1.48e-07{col 37}{space 1}  -18.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-3.07e-06{col 67}{space 3}-2.49e-06
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8289497{col 26}{space 2} .0674987{col 37}{space 1}   12.28{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6966546{col 67}{space 3} .9612447
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}     /athrho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.3061917{col 26}{space 2} .0961243{col 37}{space 1}   -3.19{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-.4945918{col 67}{space 3}-.1177916
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}         rho{col 14}{c |}{res}{space 2}-.2969686{col 26}{space 2}  .087647{col 54}{space 4}-.4578533{col 67}{space 3}-.1172499
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
LR test of indep. eqns. (rho = 0):   chi2({res}1{txt}) = {res}    9.64   {txt}Prob > chi2 = {res}0.0019
{txt}{hline 78}

{com}.                 
.                 exit

{txt}end of do-file


{com}. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}E:\Jesse's Documents\Defense Pacts\FPA\Johnson Leeds 2010 FPA rep\Johnson Leeds 2010 FPA.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res}23 Jul 2010, 10:33:35
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}